CCMC CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2025-06-17T01:36:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2025-06-17T01:36ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/39553/-1
CME Note: A partial northeastern halo overlapping with the earlier 2025-06-17T00:36Z CME which is somewhat narrower. Its source is likely the more western part of the complex eruption associated with the C5.5 flare from N21E22 peaking at 2025-06-17T00:38Z from east of AR 4115. No clear CME arrival signature seen in the solar wind.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2025-06-20T18:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 4.0
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)
Prediction Method Note:
https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/39557/1 Model Inputs: 2025-06-17T00:36:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-36.0, Lat.=31.0, Speed=717.0, HalfAngle=16.0, Time21.5=2025-06-17T05:28Z 2025-06-17T01:36:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-29.0, Lat.=25.0, Speed=464.0, HalfAngle=26.0, Time21.5=2025-06-17T08:17Z Model Output: Earth Impact: Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2025-06-20T18:00Z (+- 7 hours) (kp)90=3 (kp)180=4 Other Location(s) Impact: Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250617_052800_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250617_052800_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250617_052800_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250617_052800_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250617_052800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250617_052800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250617_052800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250617_052800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250617_052800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250617_052800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250617_052800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250617_052800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Juice_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250617_052800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250617_052800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gifLead Time: 76.87 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Anna Chulaki (M2M SWAO) on 2025-06-17T13:08Z
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